Rail Runner

The Observations of a Horse Racing Enthusiast

Kentucky Derby Future Pool #3: No Suprises

Posted by Brian Appleton on March 30, 2011

The Kentucky Derby Future Pool #3 will open on Friday for three days of wagering with eight new betting interests listed. Removed from round #3 of the Derby future pool are Sweet Ducky, Sway Away, Archarcharch, Gourmet Dinner, J P’s Gusto, Machen, Rogue Romance and Runflatout. Included among the new betting interests are Premier Pegasus, the impressive winner of the San Felipe as well as Louisiana Derby winner Pants On Fire. The other six individual choices are Nehro, Twice the Appeal, Watch Me Go, Mr. Commons, Decisive Moment and Animal Kingdom.

Any guesses as to who goes off strongly favored at odds of 3-1? Uncle Mo once again gets the nod. It’s impressive the amount of respect he still commands with only one weak prep race so far this year while colts like Premier Pegasus and Soldat who have each won major preps over quality fields go off at odds of 8-1 and 10-1 respectively.

Any thoughts on the value of horses like Tampa Bay Derby winner Watch Me Go, Robert B. Lewis winner Anthony’s Cross and Sam F. Davis winner Brethren all at odds of 50-1? I’d like to take a chance on some of that action, especially with Anthony’s Cross who appears to be peaking at exactly the right time and might be better than most think in the Santa Anita Derby. Brethren could be worth playing some too if he can bounce back in the Arkansas Derby with a big effort.

The 9 furlong Florida Derby (gr.1) this weekend should hopefully be adding a little more clarity to the Kentucky Derby picture as four of the leading Kentucky Derby contenders in Soldat, Dialed In, Stay Thirsty and To Honor and Serve will all be running. Other possibles for the race that could make an impact are Bowman’s Causeway, Arch Traveler and possibly undefeated Hutcheson Stakes winner Flashpoint who is also being considered for the 7 furlong Swale Stakes on the same day.

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6 Responses to “Kentucky Derby Future Pool #3: No Suprises”

  1. mary petrecz said

    I am still an Uncle Mo believer. Personally the KD is a crap shoot and luck plays as much talent. In the next 2 weeks we’ll see alot of posturing for respect. Uncle Mo, The Factor and Dialed In (throw away the last race) are the major players going into the KD, IMHO. I’m sad to see some of the horses out and pleased to see some of the new boys in.

    • So am I Mary, I am completely hooked on Uncle Mo. I actually heard about him before his maiden and then when he won I became a fan for life.
      I think Dialed In is going to run big in the Florida Derby and put himself much higher on some peoples Derby lists.

  2. I’m a terrible future player – usually all my plays get hurt. That being said, I like Animal Kingdom (who knows how good he is), Dialed In will close (enough seasoning to be a real threat?) and Jaycito (Baffert magic). Good luck with your plays….

    • I actually don’t bet (unless it’s a few $2 win bets when I’m at the track) but I’m intrigued by Animal Kingdom. I’m honestly not quite sure what to make of him right now.
      Dialed In looks like he’s ready to run a big race in the Florida Derby, I would love to see Zito back with a good chance.
      Hopefully Jaycito heads to the Wood to give Mo some stiffer competition. I still think he’ll be able to improve and I love the “Baffert magic”, he knows better than any other trainer how to get a colt to the Derby in form.

  3. http://www.horse-canada.com/?cat=53

    Canadian racing news here – also a member of TBA

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